Explaining: Timelines for ending war, Russia-DPRK alliance, Belarus elections

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The Center for Strategic Communication and Information Security pursues efforts to provide a brief explanation to foreign audiences on the current topics of particular interest as regards Ukraine.

TIMELINES FOR THE END OF THE WAR

In an interview with Euronews, the Head of the Presidential Office, Andriy Yermak, emphasized that the war would already be over if it depended solely on Ukraine and the democratic world.

● Kyiv aims to end the war in 2025, but it seeks a just and stable peace, backed by reliable security guarantees.

● The quickest way to end the war is to agree to Moscow’s demands, but this would guarantee an inevitable and more devastating future attack by Russia.

● The sole obstacle to peace is Putin’s regime, which disguises unacceptable ultimatums as “peace proposals.”

● U.S. President Donald Trump’s initiative to lower oil prices is a practical measure to limit Moscow’s revenues, thereby reducing its resources to continue the war.

● Kyiv stresses that the international community must increase military aid to Ukraine and tighten sanctions on Russia to compel the aggressor to engage in honest diplomacy.

RUSSIA-NORTH KOREA ALLIANCE

The prospects for military cooperation between Moscow and Pyongyang in 2025:

● North Korea plans to supply Russia with at least 150 short-range KN-23 ballistic missiles, along with artillery and ammunition.

● Future transfers may include approximately 120 Koksan self-propelled artillery systems and 120 multiple rocket launcher systems.

● This year, North Korea could also send additional troops to fight

in the Kursk region.

● North Korean troop losses in Kursk already exceed 4,000 killed and wounded, with several North Korean soldiers captured by Ukraine’s Defense Forces.

● The military alliance with Pyongyang represents a significant escalation by Moscow, which seeks to internationalize the war rather than pursue peace.

● The reliance on North Korean troops and weapons signals that Kremlin resources are depleting due to disproportionate losses inflicted by Ukraine’s Defense Force

“ELECTIONS” IN THE REPUBLIC OF BELARUS

On January 26, Belarus will hold early “presidential elections,” which cannot be considered free or transparent.

● Alexander Lukashenko, a dictator in power for over 30 years, maintains his rule through brutal repression of opposition and civil society.

● The results of this year’s “elections” are entirely predictable, making the question of recognizing Lukashenko’s legitimacy irrelevant for Ukraine.

● Lukashenko is an ally of Putin and a collaborator in Russia’s criminal, unprovoked aggression against Ukraine.

● The Belarusian people deserve democratic rights and freedoms and the opportunity for independent development free from Russia’s imperial dictates.

● Ukraine is grateful to Belarusians who support the fight again Russian aggression, including those who do so with weapons in hand


Source: Explaining: Timelines for ending war, Russia-DPRK alliance, Belarus elections

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